InTrade Watch on GOP Presidential Hopefuls

I love this site. Here's the latest numbers on who traders think will take the GOP nomination.

1. Mitt Romney - 29%
2. Sarah Palin - 19.4%
3. John Thune - 12.7%
4. Tim Pawlenty - 11.1%
5. Newt Gingrich - 10.1%
6. Mitch Daniels - 7.5%
7. Jeb Bush - 6%
8. Mike Huckabee - 5.2%
9. Ron Paul - 3.5%
10. Bobby Jindal - 1.7%

I'm not really sure why Thune ranks so high. I don't see or hear from him much on the news, but I'll keep a closer eye on him. There are other names I can see, like Mike Pence or Eric Cantor, who might want to test the waters. Bobby Jindal fell after people compared his accent to "Kenneth the Page" from 30 Rock, but his hands-on approach to the BP oil spill could help him later, should he aspire.

Mitt Romney will be the front-runner, and if unemployment stays high, his momentum will increase. He has plenty of soundbites from the 2008 campaign that are going to come back to hurt him, and personally I think if Jeb Bush runs, Romney won't prevail.

I have a hard time believing Palin will actually run in 2012. I have a hard time taking her seriously. Plus she'd make a lot more money not running.

Will Jeb Bush run in 2012?

I think he will. I think a lot of Republicans of the smoke-filled-room ilk will want him to run, and the media speculation is growing.