Or is it?
Larry Sabato's
run some numbers and has a lot of exceptions, but here's an early, early look at how he sees the landscape. He has 247 in the leaning-to-safe for Democrats and 180 in the leaning-to-safe for Republicans, with 111 votes as toss-ups. So theoretically if Obama can keep all the blue states regardless of shade and then win Florida, he wins re-election.
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