Tuesday, July 15, 2008

VP Race Update

Intrade.com has updated their betting to include more candidate options for Vice-President.

DEMOCRAT VP NOMINEE

1. (2) Kathleen Sebilius - 15%
2. (3) Hillary Clinton - 14.7%
3. (5) Tim Kaine - 13%
4. (-) Evan Bayh - 11%
5. (8) Joseph Biden - 9.5%
6. (7) Chuck Hagel - 7.5%
7. (4) Claire McCaskill - 6.5%
8. (-) Bill Richardson - 6.5%
9. (-) Jack Reed - 5.3%
10. (-) Dick Gephardt - 5%

Fallen off: James Webb, Ed Rendell, Al Gore, Wesley Clark

I caught McCaskill on Meet the Press, and she was okay, but I think Sebilius would be the stronger female candidate, should Obama choose to go that way. I don't know why Webb has gone from #1 to out of the top ten in a month. Peaked too early? It just shows you that a month is a year in politics.

I'm not sure why Hillary is still so high. Didn't Obama himself say three co-presidents is two too many? The VP needs to be someone prepared to get an onslaught of jokes at their expense, as most comedians are afraid of touching Obama. Basically whoever it is will be caricatured like Dan Quayle.

REPUBLICAN VP NOMINEE

1. (1) Mitt Romney - 23.1%
2. (3) Tim Pawlenty - 12.4%
3. (4) Mike Huckabee - 11%
4. (2) Charlie Crist - 8.1%
5. (10) Carly Fiorina - 7%
6. (9) Eric Cantor - 7%
7. (7) Rob Portman - 6.8%
8. (5) Sarah Palin - 6%
9. (-) John Thune - 6%
10. (6) Bobby Jindal - 5%

Fallen off: Joe Lieberman

The worse the economy gets, the more it looks like McCain needs to pick Romney, although if Obama picks a man, Carly Fiorina is doing well in her surrogate work and could offset the gender vote. I think as Huck makes more appearances on Fox News, it'll become more clear he's not the VP and he'll drop. Still haven't seen anything from Cantor or Palin. I'm assuming Bobby Jindal's dropping because he's too young.

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