Wednesday, February 2, 2011

InTrade Watch on 2012 GOP Presidential Hopefuls - 2/2/11

Based on Bid%.

1. (1) Mitt Romney - 22.1%
2. (3) John Thune - 12.8%
3. (2) Sarah Palin - 11%
4. (5) Mike Huckabee - 8.5%
5. (4) Tim Pawlenty - 8%
6. (6) Mitch Daniels - 7.1%
7. (-) Jon Huntsman - 5.4%
8. (7) Newt Gingrich - 4.1%
9. (-) Michelle Bachmann - 3.3%
10.(9) Haley Barbour - 3%

Rising: Mitt Romney, John Thune, Jon Huntsman, Michelle Bachmann
Falling: Sarah Palin, Tim Pawlenty, Mike Pence (8)

Chris Christie (10) remained unchanged at 1.8% but that was enough to knock him out of the top ten.

Palin's continued slide is Thune's gain, as he finds himself in the #2 spot. Romney had been slipping but gained back 1.1% over the past couple weeks.

Michelle Bachmann must've helped herself with her Tea Party response to the State of the Union and a recent Iowa visit. Jon Huntsman resigns as China ambassador and instantly finds himself in the hunt.

My hunch right now is that Huckabee easily takes Iowa and Romney puts his eggs in the New Hampshire basket. But a year is a lifetime in politics.

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