Thursday, September 29, 2011

GOP InTrade Watch

As of September 29.

It's been about six weeks since I last checked these numbers, which was right after the Iowa debate.

1. (1) Mitt Romney - 47.9%
2. (2) Rick Perry - 23.9%
3. (9) Chris Christie - 8.5%
4. (-) Herman Cain - 5.4%
5. (3) Sarah Palin - 4.5%
6. (4) Jon Huntsman - 4.0%
7. (10) Newt Gingrich - 2.9%
8. (7) Ron Paul - 2.5%
9. (6) Michelle Bachmann - 2.0%
10. (-) Mike Huckabee - 2.0%
-- Rick Santorum - 1.0%
-- Gary Johnson - 0.6%

Out of top 10: Tim Pawlenty, Rudy Guiliani

Six weeks ago, Romney and Perry were neck-and-neck. A couple more debates, and Romney's blown open a wide lead.

It's still amusing to me that two of the top five aren't running for president. Oh, Palin can tease. My hunch though is that there's a section of GOP donors who believe all she'd do is syphon votes from Perry and assure Romney's win, whereas Christie would syphon voters from both and could possibly win the nomination, providing he's a better debater than Perry.

Bachmann's fall after winning the Ames straw poll has been remarkable. "Wow, that was a fast implosion," said Howard Dean.

Santorum and now Johnson are wasting our time. I'd love it if the next debate was whittled down to seven. Or six.

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